Valladolid vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valladolid v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Valladolid vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Osasuna
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Valladolid
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Valladolid
İS1
3-2
HT 1-2
Osasuna
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Valladolid
İS1
Valladolid 2-3 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna squeezed past Valladolid 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valladolid had 50% of the ball to Osasuna's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.91 to 2.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valladolid and 0.83 for Osasuna.
What was the final score of Valladolid vs Osasuna?
Valladolid 2-3 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Osasuna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 23%, draw 31%, Osasuna 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.