Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2025

Sevilla
1-1 HT 1-1
Deportivo Alaves
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.41
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.92
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
20%
4.51
X/2
13%
7.7
X/X
12%
3.59
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
13%
6.68
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sevilla v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.47
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
25.4 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.39
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
440 Passes 188
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
12.01.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 2-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.08.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 4-3 HT 2-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
17.01.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
04.03.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
20.11.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.72 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla and Deportivo Alaves couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Sevilla had 44% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 56%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.72 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sevilla and 1.83 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves?

Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 41%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alaves 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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