Celta Vigo II 1-1 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.71
Over
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.69
2-3
41%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.0
6+
8%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.69 — our 32% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +23%
1.74/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.00
+26% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
301 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tarazona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Tarazona Tarazona 2-3 HT 2-2 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
30.03.2024 Tarazona Tarazona 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
02.09.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-0 HT 0-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
1-1
AWAY Tarazona
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II and Tarazona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 62% of the ball to Tarazona's 38%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.00 for Tarazona.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Tarazona?

Celta Vigo II 1-1 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 45%, draw 27%, Tarazona 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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