Cacereno 3-0 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.97
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
3W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Coria
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 CD Coria CD Coria 1-1 HT 0-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
30.04.2023 CD Coria CD Coria 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
11.01.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
13.02.2022 CD Coria CD Coria 1-3 HT 1-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
26.09.2021 Cacereno Cacereno 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
3-0
AWAY CD Coria
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno ran out comfortable winners over CD Coria 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Cacereno made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 48% of the ball to CD Coria's 52%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cacereno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cacereno and 0.60 for CD Coria.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs CD Coria?

Cacereno 3-0 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 38%, draw 30%, CD Coria 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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