Real Valladolid II 2-1 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.64
Over
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.9pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.48/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.51
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +118%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Avila
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.12.2024 Real Avila Real Avila 2-3 HT 1-2 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
2-1
AWAY Real Avila
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II edged past Real Avila 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Real Valladolid II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 57% of the ball to Real Avila's 43%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Real Avila?

Real Valladolid II 2-1 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 32%, draw 31%, Real Avila 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Avila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
20 Apr 2025
13:00 Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Illescas Analysis →
13:00 Union Adarve vs Conquense Analysis →
13:00 Cadiz II vs Antoniano Analysis →
13:00 Villanovense vs Xerez Analysis →
13:00 Espanyol II vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Analysis →