Talavera CF 2-0 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.56
Over
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.15/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.75
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Navalcarnero
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-4 HT 1-2 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
07.01.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
16.04.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-3 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
04.12.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 4-0 HT 2-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
14.03.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
12.12.2020 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-1 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF saw off Navalcarnero 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Talavera CF and 1.50 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Navalcarnero?

Talavera CF 2-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 44%, draw 29%, Navalcarnero 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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