Nice 2-1 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 20 Apr 2025

Nice
2-1 HT 1-0
Angers
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nice vs Angers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
57%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.7
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
18.45
X/1
18%
3.84
X/2
8%
14.85
X/X
8%
6.42
2/1
10%
22.9
2/2
7%
12.95
2/X
6%
21.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Nice win — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Angers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.86/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.70
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.1 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Nice vs Angers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Angers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
436 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Angers Angers 1-4 HT 0-2 Nice Nice FR1
02.04.2023 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
18.09.2022 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
20.02.2022 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
31.10.2021 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
07.02.2021 Nice Nice 3-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1

Nice 2-1 Angers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
2-1
AWAY Angers
2.86 xG 0.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
485 Passes 405
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice nicked a narrow win over Angers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nice had 53% of the ball to Angers's 47%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.86 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nice's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nice and 0.67 for Angers.

What was the final score of Nice vs Angers?

Nice 2-1 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nice 57%, draw 22%, Angers 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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