CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.64
Over
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.19/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.24
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-3 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
18.01.2025 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-1 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
06.10.2024 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
05.02.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
21.10.2022 CF Os Belenenses 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP II
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Sporting CP II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 50% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 50%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.00 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP II?

CF Os Belenenses 1-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 39%, draw 29%, Sporting CP II 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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