Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.59
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.48
X/2
8%
7.96
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
14%
6.24
2/X
5%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.51/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.40
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.5 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.01 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
272 Passes 379
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
19.02.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
24.09.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 4-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
21.05.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
25.12.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-5 HT 0-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.04.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.45 xG 1.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
278 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği and Bandırmaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gençlerbirliği at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 48% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.45 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.17 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Bandırmaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 47%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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