Export Sebaco 2-3 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
63%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.82
No
38%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
15%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
63%
Away Win
64%
-1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
51%
+10.7pp
38%
BTTS No
49%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 69%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
0.98/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.97
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
196 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2026 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-2 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.11.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
29.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
22.10.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-5 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.08.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
27.03.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli squeezed past Export Sebaco 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Export Sebaco and 3.17 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Real Esteli?

Export Sebaco 2-3 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 13%, draw 25%, Real Esteli 63%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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