Rancho Santana 3-4 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.9pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.5pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 61%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.12/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-1% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -43%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.02.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
01.09.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 2-1 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
23.01.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 4-0 HT 3-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
11.08.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rancho Santana
3-4
AWAY Jalapa
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa edged past Rancho Santana 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rancho Santana had 34% of the ball to Jalapa's 66%, shots finished 8-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rancho Santana and 1.00 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Jalapa?

Rancho Santana 3-4 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 27%, draw 18%, Jalapa 55%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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