Moreirense 1-0 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 20 Apr 2026

Moreirense
1-0 HT 1-0
Estoril
📅20/04/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Moreirense vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.92
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
16%
12.75
X/1
10%
5.92
X/2
11%
5.53
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1
12%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.52
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/X at 12.75 — our 16% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreirense v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.07/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
-15% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.9 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Moreirense vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Estoril
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2025 Estoril Estoril 3-3 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
11.05.2025 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
28.12.2024 Estoril Estoril 2-2 HT 2-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
18.05.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 2-1 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
13.01.2024 Estoril Estoril 1-3 HT 0-2 Moreirense Moreirense POR
07.05.2022 Estoril Estoril 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR

Moreirense 1-0 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
1-0
AWAY Estoril
0.82 xG 0.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
304 Passes 428
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 11
7 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Moreirense vs Estoril
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Moreirense edged past Estoril 1-0 in the Portugal - Premier League on 20 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Moreirense had 43% of the ball to Estoril's 57%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.82 to 0.44.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Moreirense and 1.67 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Estoril?

Moreirense 1-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 32%, draw 35%, Estoril 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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