Estoril vs Moreirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Moreirense — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Moreirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Moreirense
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
Estoril 2-2 Moreirense — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril and Moreirense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Estoril had 53% of the ball to Moreirense's 47%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.07 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estoril and 1.33 for Moreirense.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Moreirense?
Estoril 2-2 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Moreirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estoril 37%, draw 27%, Moreirense 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.