Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-3 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.68
Over 2.5
56%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.19/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.53
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
26.03.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
09.09.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
15.06.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.02.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
20.08.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-3
AWAY Nacional de Football
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football got the better of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Nacional de Football made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 44% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 56%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 37%, draw 23%, Nacional de Football 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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20 Apr 2026
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