Boston River 1-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.40/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.02
+16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 2-0 Boston River Boston River URU
13.04.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
03.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 3-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.04.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
03.12.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River edged past Cerro Largo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Boston River made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Boston River had 49% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 51%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boston River and 1.17 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Boston River 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boston River 39%, draw 28%, Cerro Largo 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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