Crystal Palace 4-2 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.34
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.4
X/2
13%
6.53
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.49
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.56
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.3 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wolverhampton
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.76 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-2 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
01.08.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton HAZ
11.05.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-3 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
03.09.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
25.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.10.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
4-2
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.68 xG 1.41
31% Ball Possession 69%
14 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
208 Passes 538
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 21
4 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace beat Wolverhampton 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Crystal Palace made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 31% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 69%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.50 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton?

Crystal Palace 4-2 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 39%, draw 29%, Wolverhampton 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
20 May 2025
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