Manchester City vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 3-0
Bournemouth
İNP
1-4
HT 0-3
Manchester City
İNP
4-0
HT 3-0
Bournemouth
İNP
Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City beat Bournemouth 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Manchester City had 57% of the ball to Bournemouth's 43%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.54 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Manchester City and 0.83 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 51%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.