Al Minaa Basra 1-0 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
39%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.9pp
39%
Away Win
24%
+14.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 28%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.97/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.00
-34% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Minaa Basra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Mosul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.02.2026 Al Mosul Al Mosul 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra squeezed past Al Mosul 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Al Minaa Basra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Mosul?

Al Minaa Basra 1-0 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Minaa Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 40%, draw 21%, Al Mosul 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Minaa Basra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Minaa Basra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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