Al Najaf 2-5 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
25%
-5.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 52%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.60/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-41% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najaf
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Karkh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
10.01.2026 Al Karkh Al Karkh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
04.04.2025 Al Karkh Al Karkh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
04.02.2025 Al Najaf Al Najaf 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Karkh Al Karkh IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh ran out comfortable winners over Al Najaf 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Karkh as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Karkh led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al Najaf and 1.33 for Al Karkh.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?

Al Najaf 2-5 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 19%, draw 32%, Al Karkh 49%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karkh) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✗ Under 2.5
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