Newroz 2-1 Zakho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 May 2026

Newroz
2-1 HT 0-1
Zakho
📅20/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zakho EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.70/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.61
-35% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +75%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Zakho
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.10.2025 Zakho Zakho 4-0 HT 3-0 Newroz IRAK
24.05.2025 Newroz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zakho Zakho IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Zakho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz edged past Zakho 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Newroz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zakho led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Newroz and 2.00 for Zakho.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Zakho?

Newroz 2-1 Zakho in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Zakho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newroz 37%, draw 33%, Zakho 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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