Al Shorta 0-2 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.18/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.13
+55% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shorta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Erbil
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
24.10.2025 Erbil Erbil 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
28.04.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil beat Al Shorta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shorta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shorta and 0.50 for Erbil.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Erbil?

Al Shorta 0-2 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 42%, draw 27%, Erbil 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Shorta), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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