Moreton City Excelsior 6-3 WDSC Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.94
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.6pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.7pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY WDSC Wolves EU Bookmakers 16%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
3.35/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/3.62
+29% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
1W-0D-0L
AWAY WDSC Wolves
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.04.2024 WDSC Wolves WDSC Wolves 0-4 HT 0-2 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs WDSC Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior cruised past WDSC Wolves 6-3. Half-time: 3-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs WDSC Wolves?

Moreton City Excelsior 6-3 WDSC Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs WDSC Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 66%, draw 18%, WDSC Wolves 16%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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