Olympic Kingsway 2-1 Western Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Kingsway EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Knights EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Kingsway
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Western Knights
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
20.04.2024 Western Knights Western Knights 3-3 HT 1-2 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway AVNPL
10.02.2024 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway 1-0 Western Knights Western Knights BAGS
POST-MATCH Olympic Kingsway vs Western Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympic Kingsway squeezed past Western Knights 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympic Kingsway as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olympic Kingsway had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olympic Kingsway and 1.50 for Western Knights.

What was the final score of Olympic Kingsway vs Western Knights?

Olympic Kingsway 2-1 Western Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Kingsway vs Western Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympic Kingsway win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Olympic Kingsway 55%, draw 21%, Western Knights 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympic Kingsway), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympic Kingsway) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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