Perth 4-4 Armadale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.3pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Armadale EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.84/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.63
+16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Armadale
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Armadale Armadale 1-1 HT 0-0 Perth Perth AVNPL
22.07.2023 Armadale Armadale 1-4 HT 0-2 Perth Perth AVUSB
20.05.2023 Perth Perth 3-4 HT 2-3 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
25.06.2022 Armadale Armadale 0-5 Perth Perth AVNPL
31.05.2022 Perth Perth 0-3 HT 0-2 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
01.05.2021 Armadale Armadale 3-4 HT 1-0 Perth Perth AVUSB
POST-MATCH Perth vs Armadale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth and Armadale shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Perth and 2.00 for Armadale.

What was the final score of Perth vs Armadale?

Perth 4-4 Armadale in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth vs Armadale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Perth 38%, draw 27%, Armadale 35%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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