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Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caerau (Ely) v Trefelin — Team-Based Signals
Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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2-0
HT 1-0
Trefelin
GALFAW
Caerau (Ely) squeezed past Trefelin 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 19% / 39% — and on the day Caerau (Ely) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 1.50 for Trefelin.
What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin?
Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Trefelin in the Wales - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 41%, draw 19%, Trefelin 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.