Carmarthen Town 2-1 Cambrian & Clydach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambrian & Clydach EU Bookmakers 42%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-100% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Cambrian & Clydach
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
12.01.2024 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 0-1 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
21.10.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach GALFAW
18.03.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach GALFAW
30.07.2022 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 3-1 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
21.01.2022 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 1-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Cambrian & Clydach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town nicked a narrow win over Cambrian & Clydach 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Carmarthen Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Carmarthen Town and 0.80 for Cambrian & Clydach.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Carmarthen Town 2-1 Cambrian & Clydach in the Wales - League Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambrian & Clydach win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 35%, draw 27%, Cambrian & Clydach 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambrian & Clydach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambrian & Clydach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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