Cremonese 5-0 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.18
Over 2.5
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
16%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 14%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
4.28/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.86
+88% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
485 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
3W-1D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
27.07.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 3-2 HT 1-2 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio HAZ
13.01.2018 Cremonese Cremonese 3-1 HT 2-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio HAZ
05.12.2015 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
10.05.2015 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-3 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
5-0
AWAY GIANA Erminio
69% Ball Possession 31%
30 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese ran out comfortable winners over GIANA Erminio 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Cremonese had 69% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 31%, shots finished 30-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cremonese and 1.00 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs GIANA Erminio?

Cremonese 5-0 GIANA Erminio in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 61%, draw 21%, GIANA Erminio 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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