Shrewsbury 0-2 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

Shrewsbury
0-2 HT 0-1
Birmingham
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Shrewsbury vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 50%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.56/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.90
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Shrewsbury 0-2 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-2
AWAY Birmingham
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham beat Shrewsbury 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 28% of the ball to Birmingham's 72%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Birmingham?

Shrewsbury 0-2 Birmingham in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 33%, draw 26%, Birmingham 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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