Hammarby 3-2 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.23
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.52
X/2
9%
9.24
X/X
14%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
20.35
2/2
11%
6.6
2/X
9%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.76/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.43
+18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.6 Crosses 20.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
464 Passes 331
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
12.08.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-3 HT 3-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
20.07.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
21.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.06.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.03.2020 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
3-2
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.81 xG 1.18
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
512 Passes 175
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby nicked a narrow win over Brommapojkarna 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hammarby had 70% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 30%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.81 to 1.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hammarby's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hammarby and 0.83 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna?

Hammarby 3-2 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 48%, draw 28%, Brommapojkarna 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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