IK Sirius 0-1 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.85
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
12%
6.05
X/2
9%
5.7
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
23%
3.52
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.66/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.24
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
22.0 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
345 Passes 339
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 Göteborg Göteborg 3-1 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
17.08.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
16.05.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-2 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
07.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
11.06.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
28.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
0-1
AWAY Göteborg
1.16 xG 1.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
509 Passes 329
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg nicked a narrow win over IK Sirius 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Göteborg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 59% of the ball to Göteborg's 41%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.16 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IK Sirius and 1.33 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Göteborg?

IK Sirius 0-1 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 36%, draw 27%, Göteborg 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göteborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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