Mjallby 2-0 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Jul 2025

Mjallby
2-0 HT 0-0
AIK
📅20/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
4.85
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.3
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
10%
6.38
X/X
9%
4.07
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
5.08
2/X
9%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.66/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
+26% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.5 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AIK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 AIK AIK 2-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
11.08.2024 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
13.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
09.03.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-3 HT 1-2 AIK AIK İSÇK
07.10.2023 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-0
AWAY AIK
1.34 xG 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
357 Passes 269
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby got the better of AIK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Mjallby made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mjallby had 55% of the ball to AIK's 45%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mjallby and 1.33 for AIK.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs AIK?

Mjallby 2-0 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 40%, draw 28%, AIK 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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