UCV 1-2 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.94
+31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.7 Crosses 18.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 0.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
191 Passes 393
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
09.02.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
06.10.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
08.07.2024 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VENK
05.04.2024 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
19.08.2023 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
0.50 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
184 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira squeezed past UCV 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Tachira found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, UCV had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 57%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.50 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UCV and 0.83 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo Tachira?

UCV 1-2 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UCV 32%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5
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