Carabobo 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.10/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.86
-33% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.8 Crosses 18.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 HT 0-2 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
11.05.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.02.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 HT 1-2 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
19.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
21.06.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-0
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.59 xG 0.56
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo got the better of Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carabobo had 59% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 41%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.59 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Carabobo and 0.83 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Carabobo 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 45%, draw 31%, Academia Puerto Cabello 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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