Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Jun 2025

📅02/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.18/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.73
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +69%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
11.5 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carabobo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.51
59% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
356 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.02.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 HT 1-2 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
19.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
21.06.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
13.05.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-3
AWAY Carabobo
0.21 xG 2.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo got the better of Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 53% of the ball to Carabobo's 47%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.21 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.33 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 29%, draw 30%, Carabobo 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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