Alianza Lima 2-1 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Jul 2026

📅20/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.88/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.59
+19% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.3 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.55 xG 0.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2026 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
20.10.2025 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
15.06.2025 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
23.10.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-1 HT 2-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
12.05.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
17.08.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
2-1
AWAY Sport Huancayo
2.78 xG 0.42
24 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
464 Passes 200
34 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima edged past Sport Huancayo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.78 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Lima's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.50 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo?

Alianza Lima 2-1 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 20/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 66%, draw 20%, Sport Huancayo 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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