Marine 0-3 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

Marine
0-3 HT 0-3
Farsley AFC
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Marine vs Farsley AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 35% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marine v Farsley AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Marine 0-3 Farsley AFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
0-3
AWAY Farsley AFC
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marine vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farsley AFC ran out comfortable winners over Marine 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Marine at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Marine had 71% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 29%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Marine vs Farsley AFC?

Marine 0-3 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Marine 45%, draw 23%, Farsley AFC 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Marine), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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