Weymouth 0-2 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -27%
1.44/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.56
+1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
23.09.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
21.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
07.03.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weymouth
0-2
AWAY Chippenham Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town saw off Weymouth 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chippenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Weymouth had 50% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 50%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weymouth and 1.50 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Chippenham Town?

Weymouth 0-2 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 38%, draw 23%, Chippenham Town 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chippenham Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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