Scunthorpe United 4-0 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Sep 2025

Scunthorpe United
4-0 HT 1-0
Truro City
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Scunthorpe United vs Truro City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
6%
8.69
X/X
8%
5.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.8
2/2
11%
6.79
2/X
7%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Scunthorpe United v Truro City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
198 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 126 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Scunthorpe United 4-0 Truro City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
4-0
AWAY Truro City
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United ran out comfortable winners over Truro City 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 59% of the ball to Truro City's 41%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Truro City?

Scunthorpe United 4-0 Truro City in the England - National League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 55%, draw 22%, Truro City 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United)
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