Tamworth 1-0 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.7
X/2
13%
6.93
X/X
16%
4.31
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
8%
5.29
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.09/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
123 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 156 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Yeovil
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Passes 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Yeovil Yeovil 2-1 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
22.10.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-0
AWAY Yeovil
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth edged past Yeovil 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Tamworth had 54% of the ball to Yeovil's 46%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yeovil led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tamworth and 1.00 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Yeovil?

Tamworth 1-0 Yeovil in the England - National League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 45%, draw 28%, Yeovil 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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