Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queens Park Rangers v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Queens Park Rangers
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Queens Park Rangers 1-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Queens Park Rangers nicked a narrow win over Stoke City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Queens Park Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 35% of the ball to Stoke City's 65%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.33 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.17 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City?
Queens Park Rangers 1-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 34%, draw 28%, Stoke City 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stoke City), BTTS Yes went the other way.