Stoke City 3-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.56
6+ Goals
7%
24.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 37% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.14
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
16%
6.74
X/X
15%
4.06
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
5.41
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.26/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.18
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.0 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
317 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
14.02.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
28.11.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 4-2 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.04.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
17.09.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
23.04.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
3-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.53 xG 0.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
267 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City saw off Queens Park Rangers 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Stoke City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stoke City had 46% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 54%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.53 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stoke City and 1.00 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Stoke City 3-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 38%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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