Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-2
Sevilla
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İSPK
0-0
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla edged past Deportivo Alaves 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 48% of the ball to Sevilla's 52%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.95 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Alaves.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.33 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla?
Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 36%, draw 30%, Sevilla 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.