FC Bocholt 4-1 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.27
-39% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bocholt
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
11.04.2025 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 3-4 HT 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
19.10.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 HT 3-1 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bocholt ran out comfortable winners over Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Bocholt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sportfreunde Lotte led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Bocholt and 4.00 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

FC Bocholt 4-1 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bocholt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Bocholt 53%, draw 22%, Sportfreunde Lotte 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Bocholt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Bocholt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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