Hartberg 2-2 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.68
Over 2.5
55%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.33
6+ Goals
11%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.03
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
12%
8.26
X/2
17%
4.09
X/X
10%
4.37
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.43
2/X
7%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.0pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.01/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.36
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
13.7 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.89 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVK
01.03.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
05.10.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
10.12.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
02.09.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
20.05.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
2-2
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
3.00 xG 1.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
371 Passes 488
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg and Wolfsberger AC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsberger AC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hartberg had 44% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 56%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 3.00 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hartberg and 1.33 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

Hartberg 2-2 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 26%, draw 23%, Wolfsberger AC 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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