Incheon United 1-2 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
23%
4.04
6+ Goals
7%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.25/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.09
-18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.9 Crosses 17.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
343 Passes 224
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
29.06.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
04.05.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-2
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
422 Passes 119
83% Pass Accuracy 58%
25 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 72% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 28%, shots finished 23-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Incheon United and 0.50 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen?

Incheon United 1-2 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 46%, draw 31%, Gimpo Citizen 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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