Suwon Bluewings 1-2 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.49
6+ Goals
11%
5.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.22 — our 25% vs market 13.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.90
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.6 Crosses 14.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
06.04.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 4-0 HT 4-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
28.09.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
15.06.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
28.04.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
19.10.2019 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1-2
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 1
386 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC edged past Suwon Bluewings 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Suwon Bluewings at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 61% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 39%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.67 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC?

Suwon Bluewings 1-2 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 57%, draw 23%, Gyeongnam FC 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
20 Sep 2025
10:30 Bucheon 1995 vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
13:00 Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen Analysis →
13:00 Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa Analysis →