Seongnam 3-0 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 34% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 33%
-19% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -9%
0.93/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.54
-31% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.9 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
402 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 0-2 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
30.03.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
20.10.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-3 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-4 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
06.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
07.10.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
3-0
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
335 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam cruised past Asan Mugunghwa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seongnam as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seongnam had 49% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 51%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seongnam and 1.83 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Seongnam 3-0 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 44%, draw 26%, Asan Mugunghwa 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seongnam), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seongnam) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
20 Sep 2025
10:30 Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC Analysis →
10:30 Bucheon 1995 vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
13:00 Incheon United vs Gimpo Citizen Analysis →