Radnik Sesvete 1-0 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.95/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.86
+35% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Jarun
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Jarun Jarun 0-2 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
14.03.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
19.10.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
19.04.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-3 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
17.11.2023 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 2-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1-0
AWAY Jarun
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete squeezed past Jarun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radnik Sesvete as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 54% of the ball to Jarun's 46%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 1.20 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun?

Radnik Sesvete 1-0 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 41%, draw 34%, Jarun 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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