Groningen 2-0 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
11.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.94
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
21%
3.98
X/2
6%
11.0
X/X
10%
5.53
2/1
7%
22.35
2/2
7%
9.07
2/X
7%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+50% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Telstar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.13 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
338 Passes 236
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL2
08.12.2023 Groningen Groningen 2-0 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
2-0
AWAY Telstar
1.80 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
370 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen got the better of Telstar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Groningen had 55% of the ball to Telstar's 45%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.80 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Groningen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Groningen and 0.50 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Telstar?

Groningen 2-0 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Groningen 56%, draw 23%, Telstar 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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