NAC Breda vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NAC Breda v Heracles — Team-Based Signals
NAC Breda vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Heracles
HOL2
5-1
HT 3-1
NAC Breda
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL
NAC Breda 2-1 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics
NAC Breda squeezed past Heracles 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NAC Breda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, NAC Breda had 63% of the ball to Heracles's 37%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.50 to 1.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold NAC Breda's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NAC Breda and 2.17 for Heracles.
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Heracles?
NAC Breda 2-1 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Heracles?
Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 55%, draw 21%, Heracles 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NAC Breda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.